In the past,

American cities tended to have relatively equal shares of college

graduates. In 1970, nearly all metropolitan areas had numbers of

graduates that were within a few percentage points of the national

average. Today, however, many cities are suffering from a serious

shortage of people who have 4-year degrees. As this trend continues,

cities like Bakersfield, California, and Dayton, Ohio find themselves

increasingly left behind.

Causes of the

Shortage of Graduates 

Part of the

problem stems from the loss of manufacturing jobs in some metro

areas. Dayton, for example, depended for a long time on its large

number of manufacturing jobs. Residents often did not need college

degrees to land lucrative positions. Dayton’s manufacturing industry

had dwindled by the early 2000s, and the city now finds itself

without the graduates necessary to adapt to the economy.

Cities that rely

on college graduates are ahead of the curve. College graduates tend

to flock to cities with large populations of other graduates, so

metros like San Francisco and New York City are bursting at the seams

with educated young people. Cities like Dayton, with their relative

lack of college graduates, have actually see their numbers decrease, even while

the national rate has gone up.

Negative

Effects of Lacking College Grads 

The recession has

made it even more difficult for metro areas to deal with the scarcity

of college graduates. People with 4-year degrees have both longer

life expectancies and higher incomes than those without degrees.

These benefits extend to the cities where these graduates live.

The

highly educated Fairfax County, for example, has half the premature death rate of

the Montgomery County, where Dayton is located. Educated citizens

tend to direct the economic future, and a poorly-educated area will

suffer the harshest effects of the current economic situation.

Strategies Used

by Affected Cities to Reverse the Trend 

The

educational drought is a serious problem for affected metros, and

some cities have been fighting to reverse the trend. Dayton, Ohio has

created the Dayton Early College Academy, a school aimed at preparing

low-income students for college. The high school has achieved

success, sending 97% of its students to college.

Instead of looking

for manufacturing jobs, Dayton’s high school graduates may now find

themselves looking for math tutoring online. Dayton has also used internships as a way to try

to keep college students and graduates in the area.

While Dayton has launched a concerted effort to attract and retain graduates, the uneven

distribution of educated young professionals continues. Cities with

cultures built around high school education will need to adapt to

focus on secondary education or face economic stagnation.

Time will tell whether or not cities like Dayton can reverse current

trends and sustain populations of college graduates similar to those

of rapidly growing metros.

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